Manchester City lost to Newcastle this round! Big data predicts the probability of winning the Premier League: Arsenal leads the way to 70.18%

Sports 7:36am, 23 November 2025 122

In the 12th round of the Premier League, Manchester City lost 1-2 to Newcastle United. In terms of the latest standings, Arsenal has one game less and leads the standings with a 3-point advantage. If they win the derby against Tottenham this round, the Gunners' lead will expand to 6 points.

The big data predictions of the data agency Opta have been updated again. The current winning probability of each Premier League team: Arsenal has risen to 70.18%, Manchester City 18.11%; Liverpool 4.22%, Chelsea 3.47%. The fifth place on the list is Villa with 1.44%, and the other teams have less than 1% chance of winning.

Latest Premier League standings↓